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The Actuaries
An actuary is a person professionally trained in the
mathematics of insurance such as the calculation of premiums,
reserves, life expectancy and other values. Actuaries apply the
methods of probability and statistics to insurance, pension,
investment, financial management and demography. Applying
mathematical methods for formulation and analysis of the
complicated business problems, actuaries evaluate individual and
corporative risks and propose sound and financially balanced
insurance and pension schemes. |
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Actuaries and Law
... Science should be a guiding star for legislator rather
than a mean of his enslavement. Contrary to the phrase "numeri
regunt mundum" (numbers govern the world), the actuaries should
always avoid the intention to dominate in the world of politics.
Alike the heart is guided by causes unknown to the brain, the
politics may be guided by causes unknown to the science. In his
activity, legislator may be forced to obey to some reasons more
important than just scientific accuracy; if he has to neglect
sometimes the latter, it is still important to conserve a clear
understanding of the urged sacrifices to politics to minimize
them and to come back to the right principles as soon as
possible.
(Quoted from the article by Cheisson "Actuaries and Law",
Insurance review, number 11, November 1897, p. 648-652; number
12, December 1897, p. 737-742.) |
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Actuaries and Amendment of Regulation
At the end of 1983, the Belgian Ministère des Affaires
Economiques suggested that companies should undertake a thorough
reform of the automobile third party liability tariff. The
U.P.E.A. (Professional Union of Insurance Companies) appointed a
study group, under the chairmanship of the author of this book,
whose main task was to recommend a new tariff structure to the
control authorities.
The study group was able to persuade six of the largest
companies to make available statistical data concerning their
whole portfolio. Subsequently, a tape containing information
relating to over 750000 policyholders, observed in 1982, was
created.
(P. 193 of the book by Jean Lemaire, "Automobile Insurance.
Actuarial Models", Kluwer, 2-d printing, 1996.) |
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Actuaries and Solvency of Insurers
...The insurance industry is controlled by special legislation
and is subject to public supervision in all industrialized
countries. A common practice is to check the solvency
periodically, usually annually. If it is proved that the insurer
can, with sufficient probability, maintain his economic
capability up to the next check point, he is declared "solvent",
otherwise the supervisors have the duty and the power to require
immediate remedial measures, or, if such turn out to be
ineffective, to wind up the business.
(T. Pentikäinen, "On the Solvency of Insurers"
In: Classical Insurance Solvency Theory, Ed. by: Cummins J.D.
and Derring R.A., Boston etc., Kluwer, 1988, pp. 1-48.) |
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Actuaries and Management
...Probably much too often mere intuition has guided the
behaviour of management. Often many "experienced" managers take
a suspicious and deprecatory stand on theoretical
considerations, which they easily pass over with short comments
on their lack of practical value. However, neglecting to clearly
formulate the problems and the principles of policies does not
mean that the manager in question does not, in fact, follow some
strategy. On the contrary, every way of decision making, even
neglecting to make a decision, is some kind of strategy. The
difference is only that the strategy of "practical men" can be a
random product of old traditions, more or less reliable
intuitions, etc. without any clear formulation and analysis of
the various alternative policies.
(T. Pentikäinen. "A model of stochastic-dynamic prognosis. An
application of
risk theory to business planning", Scand. Actuarial J. 1975:
29-53.) |
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Actuaries and Solvency II
Solvency II is the updated set of regulatory requirements for
insurance firms that operate in the European Union.
The rationale for European Union insurance legislation is to
facilitate the development of a Single Market in insurance
services in Europe, whilst at the same time securing an adequate
level of consumer protection. The third generation Insurance
Directives established an "EU passport" (single licence) for
insurers.
Solvency II will be based on economic principles for the
measurement of assets and liabilities. It will also be a
risk-based system as risk will be measured on consistent
principles and capital requirements will depend directly on
this. |
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Actuaries and Dynamic Financial Analysis (DFA)
The idea of Teivo Pentikäinen to apply the enhanced modelling of
the insurance process and to "repeat the simulation process for
different strategies", in particular "to find more or less
intuitively suitable values for strategy parameters" is the
keystone of a methodology which flourished recently under the
name of Dynamic Financial Analysis (DFA). DFA is close to the
similar topics known under other names, like Dynamic Risk
Modelling.
It is generally accepted that DFA is neither an academic
discipline, nor a single economic or mathematical concept or
method. It may be described as modelling an entire non-life
operation on a cash flow basis for solvency testing by a
comparison of different management strategies and economic
scenarios in terms of risk and return. This comparison is
carried on predominantly by means of simulation. |
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Actuaries and Financial Economics
"The finance and insurance industries have much in common. The
different tools these industries provide their customers for
managing financial insurable risks rely on the same two
fundamental concepts: risk pooling and risk transfer. Further,
the valuation techniques in both financial and insurance markets
are formally the same: the fair values of a security and an
insurance policy are the discounted expected values of the cash
flows they provide their owners. Scholars and practitioners
recognize these commonalties. Not surprisingly the markets have
converged recently; for example, some insurance companies offer
mutual funds and life insurance tied to stock portfolios, and
some banks sell annuities. These developments require that
insurance company managers, owners, and customers understand
financial markets and their relation to insurance markets...
Understanding finance and insurance, and how they are related,
begins with financial markets. ... Financial assets and
derivatives have a variety of sources. There are products from
different sources that are practically identical: for example,
some banks issue annuities to individuals just as life insurers
do. Some life insurance companies issue guaranteed interest
contracts to pension plans, in competition with banks".
From the book: H.H. Panjer (editor) et al
Financial Economics: with
Applications to Investments, Insurance and Pensions. The
Society of Actuaries // 1998, 549 p. ISBN 0-938959-48-4. |
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Actuaries and Financial Analysts
Financial analysts are affinitive with the Actuaries. Broadly
speaking, financial analysts help people decide how to invest
their money. They work for banks, insurance companies, mutual
funds, and securities firms. They learn more about the firms in
which they want to invest. Then, they suggest buying or selling
that firm's stock.
Although there are no formal qualification criteria, there are
often regulatory requirements relating to the profession. The
qualification for financial analysts includes the modelling
ability in finance an banking based on the extended
probabilistic background.
Financial analysts in Russia are united in The Guild of
Investment and Financial Analysts (GIFA;
http://www.gifa.ru/eng/index.php). GIFA was found in 1998 as
a non-profit union of Russian investment professionals with
mission to assist development of the Russian capital market and
introducing modern standards of professional qualification and
professional conduct in the investment and financial areas. |
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You can purchase special books here:
http://www.alib.ru/
You are welcome to
forward your enquiries concerning this site on the
address:
admin@actlab.ru |
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Laboratory is headed by Vsevolod K. Malinovskii,
Ph.D., D.Sc.
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Laboratory supplies professional consulting on
methodology of actuarial computations and related
problems in life, non-life insurance, reinsurance and
pensions.
Among the consultancy projects done by the Laboratory
are the
following.
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Modern Actuarial Risk
Theory: multivariate analysis and Generalized Linear
Model (GLM).
The book "Modern Actuarial Risk Theory" by R. Kaas, M.
Goovaerts, J. Dhaene, M. Denuit was translated in
Russian and published recently under the editorship of
V.K. Malinovskii.
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Dr. Michel M. Dacorogna,
Member of the Senior Management of SCOR Group, held in
April 23-24, 2008, the seminar entitled "Economics of
Risk in Insurance".
Seminar took place in Moscow (Smolenskaya str., 5, the
"Golden Ring" hotel) and comprised four talks:
1. The Price of Risk in Insurance.
2. Capital and Capital Management.
3. Adding time diversification to risk
diversification.
4. ERM (Enterprise Risk Management),
Towards an Holistic View of Risk
Management.
Seminar was organized by the
Association of European Businesses in
RF with the participation
of the Laboratory of Actuarial
research of Finance Academy and
financial support of the
Representative offices in Moscow
of Gen Re and of SCOR.
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The 38th International
ASTIN Colloquium was held in Manchester, UK, from Sunday
13 July to Wednesday 16 July, 2008.
It was a memorable event, professionally and socially,
held in the heart of the United Kingdom. Participants
enjoyed the warm hospitality of the British Actuarial
Profession.
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The 39th International
ASTIN Colloquium was held in Helsinki,
Finland, from
Monday
1 June to
Thursday 4 June, 2009.
Participants were particularly interested in that event
dedicated to the memory of Teivo Pentikäinen whose
contribution to the mathematical modelling of the
insurance process is known worldwide.
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Reflexivity in
competition-originated underwriting cycles.
This paper is an attempt to shed new light into the
causes of the competition-originated
underwriting cycles. Besides an agressive company
slashing price while seeking for
advantageous market share, the competition-originated
insurance cycle is led by other
participants' year-to-year competition for revenue and
market share framed in the concept
of reflexivity. In the framework of multi-period
Lundberg-type game model of insurance
process, this paper addresses quantitative analysis of
certain reflexive rationales of the
competition-originated insurance cycles.
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